Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 57.189253 65.243626 73.515996 82.612708 92.301659 102.282018 113.308934
2025-12-14 44.255349 55.630085 67.896194 81.961768 97.510105 114.051420 132.863001
2025-12-21 35.689554 48.602959 63.078656 80.204795 99.639414 120.769537 145.252882
2025-12-28 31.995058 46.464992 63.182676 83.424788 106.828610 132.658420 162.964774
2026-01-04 28.313988 43.826601 62.279122 85.106433 111.945379 141.957170 177.550487
2026-01-11 24.197985 40.182764 59.800545 84.610903 114.273058 147.867827 188.121478
2026-01-18 20.737252 36.995206 57.575584 84.154647 116.424697 153.395832 198.099496
2026-01-25 18.170097 34.715155 56.270022 84.633535 119.534095 159.912417 209.109420
2026-02-01 15.493379 31.994260 54.183041 83.964836 121.119664 164.534059 217.833983
2026-02-08 13.378540 29.846214 52.675808 83.884515 123.306978 169.777035 227.208893
2026-02-15 11.239995 27.411418 50.605218 82.939938 124.318543 173.535416 234.772979
2026-02-22 10.006185 26.253558 50.193852 84.073796 127.852660 180.270614 245.811651
2026-03-01 8.948872 25.288851 50.014726 85.510758 131.796318 187.555926 257.588977
2026-03-08 7.388261 23.251783 48.166279 84.628358 132.745382 191.173768 264.983568
2026-03-15 5.833346 20.958961 45.773577 82.879560 132.487939 193.242182 270.460741
2026-03-22 5.561846 21.102436 47.042066 86.150675 138.692310 203.242130 285.469458
2026-03-29 4.992492 20.559973 47.209765 87.863844 142.859097 210.722193 297.441076
2026-04-05 4.066371 19.095616 45.842055 87.359203 144.086723 214.532944 304.955469
2026-04-12 3.270318 17.740320 44.551455 86.894822 145.317299 218.311942 312.404866
2026-04-19 2.722310 16.849678 43.955279 87.382278 147.776448 223.605486 321.684568
2026-04-26 2.092469 15.558166 42.597445 86.701598 148.635532 226.860969 328.453517
2026-05-03 1.628498 14.567985 41.681342 86.619835 150.263316 231.061747 336.364183
2026-05-10 1.154437 13.320337 40.216803 85.658251 150.657486 233.669342 342.293207